Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-23 · 18:30
14.2022.8%
X3.4527.7%
21.9349.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Verona
WLWWLDWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Napoli
DDLDDWLWWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.80
Against
4.70
9.40
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Verona attack
1.80goals per matchNapoli conceded1.00Matchup
Napoli attack
1.30goals per matchVerona conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.70
9.40
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.00
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
29.80
Match total
28.20
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.90
On target
5.90
19%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.8%11.1%-11.6 pp
Draw27.7%22.2%-5.5 pp
Away49.5%66.7%+17.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
0.78–1.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-122.2%
1-222.2%
0-211.1%
0-111.1%
0-411.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.83–5.56
Average total10.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away50.0%