Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-23 · 18:30
14.2022.8%
X3.4527.7%
21.9349.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
WLWWLDWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Napoli
DDLDDWLWWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.80
Against
4.70
9.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.80goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.30goals per match
Verona conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.70
9.40
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.00
Match total
5.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
29.80
Match total
28.20

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.90
On target
5.90
19%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.8%11.1%-11.6 pp
Draw27.7%22.2%-5.5 pp
Away49.5%66.7%+17.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

0.781.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.2%
1-222.2%
0-211.1%
0-111.1%
0-411.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.835.56
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away50.0%