Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-23 · 18:30
12.7235.1%
X3.2429.5%
22.7035.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
LWDLDLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Cagliari
DWDDLLDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.50
9.30
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.70goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.70
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.20goals per match
Spal conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.50
9.30
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Match total
5.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
29.00
Match total
27.20

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.70
On target
4.60
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%26.4%-8.8 pp
Draw29.5%33.1%+3.6 pp
Away35.4%40.5%+5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS60.8%

Historical average

1.181.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.2%
1-114.2%
2-210.8%
1-29.5%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.74
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.6%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.0%12.8%–35.2% CI
Draw FT38.0%25.9%–51.8% CI
Away FT40.0%27.6%–53.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away66.0%