Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-22 · 20:45
15.7216.6%
X4.1622.8%
21.5760.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WLDLWDDWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Juventus
WDWWLWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
11.20
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.40goals per match
Juventus conceded1.30
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.60goals per match
Bologna conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
11.20
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.70
Match total
6.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
33.30
Match total
29.20

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.10
On target
5.90
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.6%14.3%-2.3 pp
Draw22.8%35.7%+12.9 pp
Away60.5%50.0%-10.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

1.001.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.3%
0-114.3%
2-114.3%
1-214.3%
2-214.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.796.21
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away50.0%