Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-22 · 20:45
15.7216.6%
X4.1622.8%
21.5760.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
WLDLWDDWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Juventus
WDWWLWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
11.20
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
1.40goals per matchJuventus conceded1.30Matchup
Juventus attack
1.60goals per matchBologna conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
11.20
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.70
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
33.30
Match total
29.20
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.10
On target
5.90
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.6%14.3%-2.3 pp
Draw22.8%35.7%+12.9 pp
Away60.5%50.0%-10.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS64.3%
Historical average
1.00–1.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-014.3%
0-114.3%
2-114.3%
1-214.3%
2-214.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.79–6.21
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.9%
Away50.0%