League Two · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 13:00
13.3827.7%
X3.1829.4%
22.1842.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stevenage
DWWDDLDDWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Carlisle
WLWLWLDLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.70
0.50
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.30
Against
5.70
10.30
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
1.60
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stevenage attack
1.10goals per matchCarlisle conceded1.00Matchup
Carlisle attack
1.00goals per matchStevenage conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.70
10.30
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.90
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
24.50
Match total
27.90
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
3.50
On target
4.70
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches108
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.7%24.1%-3.6 pp
Draw29.4%32.4%+3.0 pp
Away42.9%43.5%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS39.8%
Historical average
0.89–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-116.7%
0-013.9%
1-012.0%
1-112.0%
0-27.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.37–4.86
Average total9.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=108.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.3%1.7%–20.1% CI
Draw FT56.3%39.3%–71.8% CI
Away FT37.5%22.9%–54.7% CI
Remaining goals
0.72
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal53.1%
2+ goals18.8%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home15.6%
Away46.9%