Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-22 · 18:30
15.3317.9%
X4.1423.0%
21.6159.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DDDDLLDWWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Milan
WLLWWLWWLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
2.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.40
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
7.10
Against
4.80
12.90
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.80goals per match
Milan conceded1.60
Matchup

Milan attack

1.30goals per match
Lecce conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
7.10
Corners against
4.80
12.90
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.50
Match total
5.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
29.80
Match total
27.10

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.20
On target
5.10
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.9%16.7%-1.2 pp
Draw23.0%33.3%+10.3 pp
Away59.1%50.0%-9.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS75.0%

Historical average

1.171.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
2-216.7%
1-216.7%
0-08.3%
1-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.426.58
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

0.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals16.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away41.7%