Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-22 · 18:30
11.5262.7%
X4.3022.2%
26.3115.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WLDLDLWDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Brescia
LLLLWDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.10
Against
7.70
9.20
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.30
2.00
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.80goals per match
Brescia conceded2.30
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.70goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.10
Corners against
7.70
9.20
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
30.80
Match total
27.50

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
4.70
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.7%60.6%-2.1 pp
Draw22.2%24.2%+2.1 pp
Away15.1%15.2%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

2.000.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.2%
1-115.2%
3-012.1%
1-29.1%
2-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.333.64
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away28.6%