Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 20:45
11.3670.2%
X5.0319.0%
28.7810.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Inter
WLDWWDWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Sampdoria
LLLLWLWDLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.70
Against
6.40
10.10
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Inter attack
1.80goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.80Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.10goals per matchInter conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.40
10.10
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
24.40
Match total
29.30
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
7.00
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%66.7%-3.5 pp
Draw19.0%22.2%+3.3 pp
Away10.9%11.1%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS38.9%
Historical average
2.67–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
5-022.2%
1-011.1%
2-011.1%
2-211.1%
1-111.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.44–3.89
Average total10.33
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%60.9%–91.1% CI
Draw FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Away FT4.0%0.7%–19.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.84
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals32.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.0%
Away28.0%