Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 20:45
11.3670.2%
X5.0319.0%
28.7810.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WLDWWDWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Sampdoria
LLLLWLWDLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.70
Against
6.40
10.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Inter attack

1.80goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.80
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.10goals per match
Inter conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.40
10.10
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
24.40
Match total
29.30

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
7.00
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%66.7%-3.5 pp
Draw19.0%22.2%+3.3 pp
Away10.9%11.1%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS38.9%

Historical average

2.670.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-022.2%
1-011.1%
2-011.1%
2-211.1%
1-111.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.89
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%60.9%–91.1% CI
Draw FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Away FT4.0%0.7%–19.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.84

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals32.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.0%
Away28.0%