League Two · 2020/21
2021-03-09 · 19:00
11.5759.7%
X3.8624.3%
25.8616.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
WLWWWDWLLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Grimsby
DLWLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.50
1.60
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.40
Against
4.50
12.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.50
1.60
Goals conceded
2.20
3.50
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.90goals per match
Grimsby conceded2.20
Matchup

Grimsby attack

0.50goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.50
12.20
Match total
8.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.20
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
25.90
Match total
26.90

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.10
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.7%59.7%-0.0 pp
Draw24.3%22.6%-1.7 pp
Away16.0%17.7%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS45.2%

Historical average

1.810.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.5%
2-011.3%
1-19.7%
2-28.1%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.553.60
Average total9.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.533.9%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%36.5%–75.5% CI
Draw FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Away FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away33.3%