Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 18:30
11.3570.7%
X5.4017.7%
28.1711.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWLLWWWLDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Sassuolo
LWDDDWLLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.10
90%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.00
2.40
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.70
Against
5.50
10.30
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
4.30
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.00goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.50
10.30
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.00
Match total
6.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
27.70
Match total
29.60

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
10.00
On target
5.00
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.7%94.4%+23.8 pp
Draw17.7%5.6%-12.1 pp
Away11.7%0.0%-11.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS38.9%

Historical average

2.500.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-027.8%
2-016.7%
2-111.1%
3-111.1%
3-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.783.39
Average total9.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away10.0%