League Two · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
13.0330.9%
X3.1230.0%
22.3939.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Colchester
WDWLDDLDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Newport County
DWLDDDLLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
0.70
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.90
Against
3.70
10.80
Total
7.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Colchester attack
1.20goals per matchNewport County conceded1.20Matchup
Newport County attack
1.10goals per matchColchester conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.90
Corners against
3.70
10.80
Match total
7.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.60
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
20.60
Match total
26.40
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.10
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches129
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%31.0%+0.1 pp
Draw30.0%26.4%-3.6 pp
Away39.1%42.6%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS45.0%
Historical average
1.06–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-116.3%
1-111.6%
1-010.1%
0-29.3%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.44–5.32
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=129.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%17.2%–43.6% CI
Draw FT31.0%19.1%–46.0% CI
Away FT40.5%27.0%–55.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.9%
Away50.0%