Serie A · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 18:30
12.1943.5%
X3.2729.1%
23.4727.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
WDDLLWLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Parma
LDDDWWLLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.70
Against
7.50
12.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Torino attack

0.80goals per match
Parma conceded1.60
Matchup

Parma attack

1.20goals per match
Torino conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.70
Corners against
7.50
12.50
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.70
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
32.00
Match total
26.80

Shots

7.10N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.20
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.5%45.6%+2.2 pp
Draw29.1%26.8%-2.3 pp
Away27.4%27.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.501.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-011.4%
2-010.1%
2-19.4%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.384.23
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%27.7%–55.6% CI
Draw FT40.9%27.7%–55.6% CI
Away FT18.2%9.5%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away40.9%