League Two · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:00
12.1244.2%
X3.1629.6%
23.5726.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
WWDWLDWLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Stevenage
DDLDLWWLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.30
10.00
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.00goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.20
Matchup

Stevenage attack

0.80goals per match
Newport County conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.30
10.00
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.20
Match total
2.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.30
Match total
23.50

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.70
On target
2.20
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%43.2%-0.9 pp
Draw29.6%34.7%+5.1 pp
Away26.2%22.1%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.516.6%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

1.260.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
0-014.6%
1-013.6%
2-010.1%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.294.33
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%29.1%–48.7% CI
Draw FT42.9%33.2%–53.1% CI
Away FT18.7%12.0%–27.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.1%
2+ goals33.0%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away34.1%