Serie A · 2019/20
2020-03-09 · 17:30
11.7853.4%
X3.8224.9%
24.3921.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
LLLWLDLWWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Brescia
WLLLLWDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
2.10
Conceded
2.00
90%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
6.40
Against
7.50
12.60
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
2.10
Goals conceded
2.00
3.90
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.80goals per match
Brescia conceded2.00
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.80goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
6.40
Corners against
7.50
12.60
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.40
Match total
5.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
29.90
Match total
28.90

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
5.40
On target
3.40
19%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.4%48.4%-5.0 pp
Draw24.9%32.3%+7.4 pp
Away21.7%19.4%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.541.9%
BTTS67.7%

Historical average

1.871.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.4%
1-29.7%
2-29.7%
1-09.7%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.714.16
Average total10.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.2%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away42.9%