League Two · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:00
11.8052.1%
X3.4727.0%
24.4920.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Carlisle
WWLWWWDWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Oldham
LWWWWDDLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.40
Against
5.10
11.80
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Carlisle attack
2.10goals per matchOldham conceded1.80Matchup
Oldham attack
1.80goals per matchCarlisle conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.10
11.80
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.30
Match total
23.40
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.40
On target
5.00
13%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%54.5%+2.5 pp
Draw27.0%31.8%+4.8 pp
Away20.9%13.6%-7.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
1.86–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-018.2%
3-113.6%
1-113.6%
1-29.1%
3-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.27–4.45
Average total10.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.536.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.2%37.5%–71.6% CI
Draw FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI
Away FT17.2%7.6%–34.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.2%
2+ goals51.7%
3+ goals20.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.4%
Away44.8%