League Two · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:00
11.8052.1%
X3.4727.0%
24.4920.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
WWLWWWDWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Oldham
LWWWWDDLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.40
Against
5.10
11.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

2.10goals per match
Oldham conceded1.80
Matchup

Oldham attack

1.80goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.10
11.80
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.30
Match total
23.40

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.40
On target
5.00
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%54.5%+2.5 pp
Draw27.0%31.8%+4.8 pp
Away20.9%13.6%-7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

1.861.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.2%
3-113.6%
1-113.6%
1-29.1%
3-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.274.45
Average total10.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.2%37.5%–71.6% CI
Draw FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI
Away FT17.2%7.6%–34.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.2%
2+ goals51.7%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.4%
Away44.8%