League Two · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 13:00
13.2828.6%
X3.1629.6%
22.2441.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crawley Town
WLLWDDDLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Exeter
DDDWLDLWDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
2.00
1.10
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.50
Against
6.10
10.20
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crawley Town attack
1.10goals per matchExeter conceded1.40Matchup
Exeter attack
1.60goals per matchCrawley Town conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.10
10.20
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.20
Match total
1.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
28.10
Match total
20.80
Shots
8.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
2.60
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.6%30.8%+2.2 pp
Draw29.6%23.1%-6.6 pp
Away41.8%46.2%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS76.9%
Historical average
1.31–1.38
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-230.8%
1-123.1%
0-115.4%
1-07.7%
3-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.92–5.62
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Away FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.1%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away50.0%