League Two · 2020/21
2021-02-23 · 19:00
12.4138.8%
X3.0530.7%
23.0730.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Port Vale
WLLLDDLWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Stevenage
LDDLDLWWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.70
Against
5.20
9.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.50
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.80goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.50
Matchup

Stevenage attack

0.90goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.20
9.40
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.70
Match total
2.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.40
Match total
23.40

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.50
On target
2.30
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches227
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%40.5%+1.7 pp
Draw30.7%32.2%+1.5 pp
Away30.5%27.3%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.3%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

1.121.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.6%
1-116.7%
0-011.0%
2-18.4%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.884.42
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=227.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.543.2%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.0%24.2%–43.1% CI
Draw FT40.7%31.1%–50.9% CI
Away FT26.4%18.4%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away41.8%