Serie A · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 19:45
12.2741.9%
X3.2829.0%
23.2629.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Inter
WWWWWDWDWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
2.20
0.60
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

9.30N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.90
Against
5.50
13.20
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.30goals per match
Inter conceded1.10
Matchup

Inter attack

2.20goals per match
Juventus conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.30N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.50
13.20
Match total
11.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.50
Match total
6.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
23.90
Match total
28.90

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
9.40
On target
6.90
16%
Conversion
22%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%41.7%-0.1 pp
Draw29.0%30.5%+1.5 pp
Away29.2%27.8%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.461.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
1-010.6%
0-09.9%
2-09.9%
2-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.74
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI
Draw FT47.1%34.1%–60.5% CI
Away FT19.6%11.0%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals9.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away39.2%