Serie A · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 17:00
12.9132.6%
X3.1430.3%
22.5637.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Udinese
LWWLDDWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Fiorentina
WDWLLLDWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.80
Against
6.40
10.20
Total
12.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
1.70
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Udinese attack
0.80goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.50Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.60goals per matchUdinese conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.40
10.20
Match total
12.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.60
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.60N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
31.30
Match total
27.60
Shots
9.20N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.40
On target
5.90
9%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%35.5%+2.8 pp
Draw30.3%32.3%+2.0 pp
Away37.1%32.3%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS56.5%
Historical average
1.23–1.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.7%
2-114.5%
0-111.3%
1-08.1%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.98–5.06
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Away FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away59.1%