Serie A · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 17:00
12.9132.6%
X3.1430.3%
22.5637.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
LWWLDDWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Fiorentina
WDWLLLDWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.80
Against
6.40
10.20
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
1.70
Total goals
3.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

0.80goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.50
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.60goals per match
Udinese conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.40
10.20
Match total
12.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.60
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
31.30
Match total
27.60

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.40
On target
5.90
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%35.5%+2.8 pp
Draw30.3%32.3%+2.0 pp
Away37.1%32.3%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

1.231.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.7%
2-114.5%
0-111.3%
1-08.1%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.985.06
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Away FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away59.1%