League Two · 2020/21
2021-02-16 · 19:00
13.1030.3%
X3.1130.2%
22.3739.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
WWWWDWLDWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Exeter
DDDDDWLDLW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.00
1.10
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.20N=10
3.80
Against
5.30
9.70
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.20goals per match
Exeter conceded1.40
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.50goals per match
Newport County conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
0%0/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.30
9.70
Match total
11.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.20
Match total
1.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.80
Match total
20.50

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.10
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%29.4%-0.9 pp
Draw30.2%25.2%-5.0 pp
Away39.6%45.5%+5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS42.0%

Historical average

1.001.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.2%
1-110.5%
1-09.8%
0-08.4%
0-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.36
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%14.6%–39.4% CI
Draw FT29.5%18.2%–44.2% CI
Away FT45.5%31.7%–59.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals29.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.8%
Away52.3%