League Two · 2020/21
2021-02-16 · 19:00
13.1030.3%
X3.1130.2%
22.3739.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newport County
WWWWDWLDWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Exeter
DDDDDWLDLW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
2.00
1.10
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
6.20N=10
3.80
Against
5.30
9.70
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newport County attack
1.20goals per matchExeter conceded1.40Matchup
Exeter attack
1.50goals per matchNewport County conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.30
9.70
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.20
Match total
1.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.80
Match total
20.50
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.10
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%29.4%-0.9 pp
Draw30.2%25.2%-5.0 pp
Away39.6%45.5%+5.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS42.0%
Historical average
1.00–1.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-118.2%
1-110.5%
1-09.8%
0-08.4%
0-28.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.70–5.36
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%14.6%–39.4% CI
Draw FT29.5%18.2%–44.2% CI
Away FT45.5%31.7%–59.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals29.5%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home31.8%
Away52.3%