League Two · 2020/21
2021-02-09 · 19:00
11.6556.9%
X3.5626.4%
25.6316.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newport County
WWWWWDWLDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Southend
LLLWLDDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.30
0.90
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
5.30
9.70
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newport County attack
1.40goals per matchSouthend conceded1.90Matchup
Southend attack
0.30goals per matchNewport County conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.30
9.70
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.70N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.20
Match total
26.40
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.60
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%43.9%-13.0 pp
Draw26.4%30.3%+3.9 pp
Away16.7%25.8%+9.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS57.6%
Historical average
1.42–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-118.2%
1-115.2%
0-112.1%
0-09.1%
2-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.82–3.35
Average total9.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.528.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals23.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.1%
Away42.9%