Serie A · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 14:00
11.6856.7%
X3.8324.9%
25.1718.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milan
LDWLDDDWDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Genoa
LLDDDLLDDW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.10
Against
6.20
11.30
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milan attack
1.10goals per matchGenoa conceded1.80Matchup
Genoa attack
1.10goals per matchMilan conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.20
11.30
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.20
Match total
6.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
28.30
Match total
31.80
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
6.80
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%58.9%+2.2 pp
Draw24.9%20.5%-4.3 pp
Away18.4%20.5%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
1.66–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-119.2%
1-013.7%
1-111.0%
0-19.6%
2-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.25–3.82
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.2%33.0%–70.8% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals21.7%
3+ goals8.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.9%
Away34.8%