Serie A · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 14:00
11.6856.7%
X3.8324.9%
25.1718.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
LDWLDDDWDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Genoa
LLDDDLLDDW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.10
Against
6.20
11.30
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.10goals per match
Genoa conceded1.80
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.10goals per match
Milan conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.20
11.30
Match total
9.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.20
Match total
6.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
28.30
Match total
31.80

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
6.80
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%58.9%+2.2 pp
Draw24.9%20.5%-4.3 pp
Away18.4%20.5%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.660.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-119.2%
1-013.7%
1-111.0%
0-19.6%
2-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.253.82
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.2%33.0%–70.8% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals21.7%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.9%
Away34.8%