Serie A · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 11:30
12.0546.5%
X3.4028.0%
23.7425.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
WWWLWLDWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Spal
LLDLLWLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.10
Against
6.20
12.10
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.60goals per match
Spal conceded1.80
Matchup

Spal attack

0.80goals per match
Parma conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.20
12.10
Match total
10.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
26.20
Match total
30.80

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.50
On target
4.10
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.5%48.5%+2.0 pp
Draw28.0%30.9%+2.9 pp
Away25.5%20.6%-4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

1.561.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.4%
1-012.4%
1-111.3%
0-010.3%
2-29.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.045.15
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.2%29.2%–62.2% CI
Draw FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI
Away FT19.4%9.2%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away35.5%