Serie A · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 17:00
13.6326.2%
X3.6126.3%
22.0047.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WDWWWWLLDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Roma
WDWLWDWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.80
1.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
2.70
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.00
Against
5.70
9.30
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
3.70
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

2.10goals per match
Roma conceded1.10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.80goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.70
9.30
Match total
11.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.60
Match total
6.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
27.70
Match total
26.80

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.80
On target
5.00
19%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.2%31.3%+5.1 pp
Draw26.3%25.0%-1.3 pp
Away47.5%43.8%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS68.8%

Historical average

1.251.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-212.5%
1-012.5%
1-39.4%
2-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.566.28
Average total10.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away54.5%