Serie A · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 14:00
17.6712.4%
X5.3417.8%
21.3669.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
LDDDDLLDWW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Atalanta
WWDDDWLDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.50
1.40
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
7.10
Against
3.20
13.10
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.60goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.50goals per match
Lecce conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
7.10
Corners against
3.20
13.10
Match total
8.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.70
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
30.30
Match total
30.20

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.50
On target
7.80
14%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.4%35.7%+23.3 pp
Draw17.8%21.4%+3.6 pp
Away69.8%42.9%-27.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.557.1%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.642.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.3%
0-414.3%
1-114.3%
0-67.1%
1-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

2.645.71
Average total8.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.535.7%
Over 9.535.7%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.514.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away75.0%