Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 19:45
11.4764.6%
X4.4221.5%
26.8513.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Napoli
WWDDLLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Torino
LLLWWDWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.60
Against
7.80
9.40
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Napoli attack
1.30goals per matchTorino conceded1.80Matchup
Torino attack
1.30goals per matchNapoli conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.80
9.40
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
25.50
Match total
31.70
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
7.30
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.6%84.0%+19.4 pp
Draw21.5%12.0%-9.5 pp
Away13.9%4.0%-9.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS52.0%
Historical average
2.64–0.68
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-124.0%
3-112.0%
3-012.0%
2-012.0%
1-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.60–3.28
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals54.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.9%
Away27.3%