Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 19:45
11.4764.6%
X4.4221.5%
26.8513.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWDDLLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Torino
LLLWWDWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.60
Against
7.80
9.40
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.30goals per match
Torino conceded1.80
Matchup

Torino attack

1.30goals per match
Napoli conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.80
9.40
Match total
11.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Match total
5.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
25.50
Match total
31.70

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
7.30
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.6%84.0%+19.4 pp
Draw21.5%12.0%-9.5 pp
Away13.9%4.0%-9.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

2.640.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-124.0%
3-112.0%
3-012.0%
2-012.0%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.603.28
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals54.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away27.3%