Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 14:00
11.5461.8%
X4.2622.3%
25.9815.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
DWWWWWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Bologna
DLLLLWWLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.60
Against
5.20
9.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.90
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

3.00goals per match
Bologna conceded1.60
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.50goals per match
Lazio conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.20
9.10
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.60
Match total
6.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
22.00
Match total
30.90

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
7.40
On target
6.30
23%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.8%69.2%+7.5 pp
Draw22.3%20.5%-1.8 pp
Away15.9%10.3%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.543.6%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

2.460.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.9%
4-112.8%
4-010.3%
1-110.3%
2-25.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.133.62
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away41.7%