Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 17:00
11.3172.4%
X5.7416.5%
28.5411.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
LDWWWWLLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lecce
WLDDLWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

9.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.50
Against
7.90
12.60
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.90
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.50goals per match
Lecce conceded2.10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.30goals per match
Roma conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.90
12.60
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.00
Match total
5.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
28.30
Match total
28.60

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
8.00
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%60.0%-12.4 pp
Draw16.5%0.0%-16.5 pp
Away11.1%40.0%+28.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS30.0%

Historical average

2.000.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
0-120.0%
5-010.0%
4-110.0%
0-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.803.80
Average total11.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.560.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away45.5%