Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 17:00
11.3172.4%
X5.7416.5%
28.5411.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
LDWWWWLLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lecce
WLDDLWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
9.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.50
Against
7.90
12.60
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.90
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
1.50goals per matchLecce conceded2.10Matchup
Lecce attack
1.30goals per matchRoma conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.90
12.60
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.00
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
28.30
Match total
28.60
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
8.00
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%60.0%-12.4 pp
Draw16.5%0.0%-16.5 pp
Away11.1%40.0%+28.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS30.0%
Historical average
2.00–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.0%
0-120.0%
5-010.0%
4-110.0%
0-210.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.80–3.80
Average total11.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.560.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away45.5%