Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 11:30
14.8919.5%
X3.8324.9%
21.7155.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Genoa
LDLWLLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Lazio
LLDWWWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.50
9.30
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Genoa attack
1.00goals per matchLazio conceded1.10Matchup
Lazio attack
1.50goals per matchGenoa conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.50
9.30
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
7.20
Match total
7.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
31.90
Match total
25.00
Shots
8.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.00
On target
6.00
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.5%23.5%+4.1 pp
Draw24.9%23.5%-1.3 pp
Away55.7%52.9%-2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.547.1%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
1.24–1.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-111.8%
1-111.8%
1-011.8%
3-411.8%
0-411.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.24–5.12
Average total9.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.523.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away60.0%