Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 11:30
14.8919.5%
X3.8324.9%
21.7155.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LDLWLLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Lazio
LLDWWWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.50
9.30
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.00goals per match
Lazio conceded1.10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.50goals per match
Genoa conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.50
9.30
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
7.20
Match total
7.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
31.90
Match total
25.00

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.00
On target
6.00
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.5%23.5%+4.1 pp
Draw24.9%23.5%-1.3 pp
Away55.7%52.9%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.547.1%
BTTS47.1%

Historical average

1.241.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.8%
1-111.8%
1-011.8%
3-411.8%
0-411.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.245.12
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away60.0%