Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 19:45
12.6835.5%
X3.3128.7%
22.6635.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WWLDLDLWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Milan
LWLLWWLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.90
Against
4.70
8.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.90goals per match
Milan conceded1.70
Matchup

Milan attack

1.30goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.70
8.90
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.50
Match total
6.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
30.90
Match total
28.00

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.80
On target
5.20
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%38.8%+3.3 pp
Draw28.7%24.3%-4.5 pp
Away35.8%36.9%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.321.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.6%
2-111.7%
1-110.7%
1-28.7%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.914.73
Average total10.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.8%
Over 9.560.2%
Over 10.550.5%
Over 11.539.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Draw FT28.9%17.0%–44.8% CI
Away FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.66

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals26.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away60.5%