Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 17:00
17.7812.2%
X4.9419.3%
21.3968.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
WLWDLDLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Juventus
WWDWWLWWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.70
Against
6.10
9.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.80goals per match
Juventus conceded1.30
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.60goals per match
Spal conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.10
9.90
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.10
Match total
6.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
27.00
Match total
27.70

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.60
On target
5.70
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.2%16.7%+4.4 pp
Draw19.3%41.7%+22.4 pp
Away68.5%41.7%-26.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.001.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-125.0%
2-116.7%
2-216.7%
1-116.7%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.926.42
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away75.0%