Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-21 · 19:45
16.0615.7%
X4.3521.9%
21.5362.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
DLLLWLLDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Napoli
WDDLDDWLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.90N=10
6.60
Against
4.70
11.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.80goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.50goals per match
Brescia conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
6.60
Corners against
4.70
11.00
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.30
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
31.50
Match total
27.30

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.20
On target
6.40
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.7%26.3%+10.6 pp
Draw21.9%15.8%-6.1 pp
Away62.3%57.9%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS36.8%

Historical average

0.741.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-021.1%
1-215.8%
0-410.5%
0-010.5%
0-110.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.057.16
Average total11.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.563.2%
Over 10.557.9%
Over 11.542.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away66.7%