Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-17 · 19:45
11.6158.9%
X3.9424.1%
25.5717.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
LLDWLDDDWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Torino
LLLLWWDWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.20
Against
7.60
10.70
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.00goals per match
Torino conceded1.80
Matchup

Torino attack

1.30goals per match
Milan conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.60
10.70
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.90
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
17.00N=10
29.30
Match total
32.20

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
6.80
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.9%48.4%-10.5 pp
Draw24.1%41.9%+17.9 pp
Away17.0%9.7%-7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.535.5%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

1.871.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.6%
2-212.9%
2-19.7%
1-09.7%
4-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.034.13
Average total11.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.9%
Over 9.571.0%
Over 10.564.5%
Over 11.548.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away42.9%