Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 19:45
12.3540.4%
X3.4927.2%
22.9432.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WDWWWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Inter
WWWWWWDWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

3.20
Scored
2.30
0.80
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.70
Against
5.10
9.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
2.30
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
4.00
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

3.20goals per match
Inter conceded0.90
Matchup

Inter attack

2.30goals per match
Lazio conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.10
9.10
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.20
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
17.60N=10
21.10
Match total
29.80

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
7.90
On target
7.20
24%
Conversion
23%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%37.7%-2.7 pp
Draw27.2%37.7%+10.5 pp
Away32.3%24.5%-7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS62.3%

Historical average

1.451.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.9%
2-113.2%
2-213.2%
1-07.5%
0-15.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.83
Average total10.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.8%
Over 9.560.4%
Over 10.554.7%
Over 11.545.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away53.3%