Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 17:00
13.8724.6%
X3.7525.4%
21.9050.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LWDWWWWLLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Napoli
LWDDLDDWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
2.80
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.20
Against
4.70
9.80
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.90
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

2.20goals per match
Napoli conceded1.40
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.10
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.70
9.80
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
27.50
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.70
On target
6.70
20%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.6%30.8%+6.2 pp
Draw25.4%26.9%+1.6 pp
Away50.1%42.3%-7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS69.2%

Historical average

1.381.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
2-111.5%
2-47.7%
3-17.7%
1-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.195.77
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away56.3%