Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 14:00
12.0147.3%
X3.5326.9%
23.6925.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sassuolo
WLLLWLDLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Parma
LLDDDWWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.10
2.00
Conceded
1.80
100%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.10
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
7.00
Against
8.00
13.40
Total
11.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
4.10
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sassuolo attack
2.10goals per matchParma conceded1.80Matchup
Parma attack
1.10goals per matchSassuolo conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
7.00
Corners against
8.00
13.40
Match total
11.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.00
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
29.90
Match total
25.10
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
5.70
On target
3.80
21%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.3%38.1%-9.2 pp
Draw26.9%33.3%+6.4 pp
Away25.8%28.6%+2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS60.3%
Historical average
1.43–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.0%
1-011.1%
1-29.5%
0-19.5%
2-29.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.00–4.51
Average total10.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.581.0%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.5%
Away62.5%