Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 14:00
12.0147.3%
X3.5326.9%
23.6925.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
WLLLWLDLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Parma
LLDDDWWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
2.00
Conceded
1.80
100%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
7.00
Against
8.00
13.40
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
4.10
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

2.10goals per match
Parma conceded1.80
Matchup

Parma attack

1.10goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
7.00
Corners against
8.00
13.40
Match total
11.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.00
Match total
4.50
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
29.90
Match total
25.10

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
5.70
On target
3.80
21%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.3%38.1%-9.2 pp
Draw26.9%33.3%+6.4 pp
Away25.8%28.6%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.431.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
1-011.1%
1-29.5%
0-19.5%
2-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.004.51
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.0%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away62.5%