Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 14:00
11.1880.9%
X7.2613.1%
215.956.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWWWWDWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Brescia
LWLLLLWDLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.20
Against
6.40
12.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.30goals per match
Brescia conceded1.90
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.80goals per match
Juventus conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.40
12.10
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.10
Match total
30.10

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
8.60
On target
3.40
17%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.9%84.2%+3.3 pp
Draw13.1%5.3%-7.9 pp
Away6.0%10.5%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS36.8%

Historical average

2.470.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-036.8%
2-110.5%
3-010.5%
2-35.3%
5-05.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.473.05
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.542.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away41.7%