Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 14:00
11.1880.9%
X7.2613.1%
215.956.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WWWWWDWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Brescia
LWLLLLWDLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.20
Against
6.40
12.10
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
2.30goals per matchBrescia conceded1.90Matchup
Brescia attack
0.80goals per matchJuventus conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.40
12.10
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.10
Match total
30.10
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
8.60
On target
3.40
17%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.9%84.2%+3.3 pp
Draw13.1%5.3%-7.9 pp
Away6.0%10.5%+4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS36.8%
Historical average
2.47–0.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-036.8%
2-110.5%
3-010.5%
2-35.3%
5-05.3%
Comparable corner averages
7.47–3.05
Average total10.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.542.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away41.7%