Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 19:45
11.8052.9%
X4.2222.6%
23.8824.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
DWWLLWWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Roma
WWDWLWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.00
90%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.30
2.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
6.30N=10
2.60
Against
5.50
10.60
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
4.40
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.90goals per match
Roma conceded1.00
Matchup

Roma attack

1.90goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.50
10.60
Match total
11.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.10
Match total
6.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
27.60
Match total
27.10

Shots

17.30N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
9.80
On target
5.60
17%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%60.0%+7.1 pp
Draw22.6%20.0%-2.6 pp
Away24.5%20.0%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.601.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-020.0%
2-120.0%
0-210.0%
0-510.0%
3-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.305.80
Average total11.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.590.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away50.0%