Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 17:00
11.8451.8%
X3.6226.3%
24.3421.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
LDWLDLWDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Genoa
LLLDDDLLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
70%
100%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
6.30
10.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.60goals per match
Genoa conceded2.20
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.80goals per match
Bologna conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.30
10.80
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.40
Match total
6.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
33.50
Match total
30.50

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.50
On target
4.60
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%50.0%-1.8 pp
Draw26.3%27.8%+1.5 pp
Away21.9%22.2%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.391.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-013.9%
0-111.1%
2-111.1%
2-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.974.17
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away50.0%