Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 14:00
12.1943.4%
X3.5227.0%
23.2229.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
LLDDDDLLDW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Spal
LLLDLLWLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.90
Against
7.10
12.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.50goals per match
Spal conceded1.80
Matchup

Spal attack

0.70goals per match
Lecce conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.90
Corners against
7.10
12.90
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.50
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.80
Match total
29.40

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.40
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.4%49.3%+5.8 pp
Draw27.0%26.9%-0.2 pp
Away29.5%23.9%-5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.611.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
2-011.9%
1-011.9%
2-19.0%
0-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.90
Average total10.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.549.3%
Over 11.541.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away31.3%