Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 19:45
11.9548.7%
X3.4227.8%
24.0523.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WWLDWWDWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Milan
WLWLLWWLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
0.90
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.40
Against
4.20
9.90
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Inter attack

1.50goals per match
Milan conceded1.30
Matchup

Milan attack

1.20goals per match
Inter conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.20
9.90
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.80
Match total
6.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
24.40
Match total
29.00

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.90
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.7%43.1%-5.6 pp
Draw27.8%26.6%-1.2 pp
Away23.5%30.3%+6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.371.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.6%
2-111.9%
1-111.0%
1-28.3%
0-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.565.04
Average total10.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.535.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.1%21.6%–49.5% CI
Draw FT31.7%19.6%–47.0% CI
Away FT34.1%21.6%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals22.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away56.1%