Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 19:45
11.9548.7%
X3.4227.8%
24.0523.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Inter
WWLDWWDWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Milan
WLWLLWWLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.70
0.90
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.40
Against
4.20
9.90
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Inter attack
1.50goals per matchMilan conceded1.30Matchup
Milan attack
1.20goals per matchInter conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.20
9.90
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.80
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
24.40
Match total
29.00
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.90
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.7%43.1%-5.6 pp
Draw27.8%26.6%-1.2 pp
Away23.5%30.3%+6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS52.3%
Historical average
1.37–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.6%
2-111.9%
1-111.0%
1-28.3%
0-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.56–5.04
Average total10.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.535.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.1%21.6%–49.5% CI
Draw FT31.7%19.6%–47.0% CI
Away FT34.1%21.6%–49.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.49
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals22.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.7%
Away56.1%