Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 17:00
14.5121.1%
X3.9424.2%
21.7454.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LWWWLWLDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lazio
WLLDWWWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.80
Against
5.30
12.30
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.70goals per match
Lazio conceded1.10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.70goals per match
Parma conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.30
12.30
Match total
10.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Match total
6.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
26.70
Match total
25.10

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.70
On target
6.40
15%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.1%20.8%-0.3 pp
Draw24.2%25.0%+0.8 pp
Away54.7%54.2%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.132.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.7%
1-112.5%
1-08.3%
2-18.3%
0-48.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.92
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away46.7%