Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 14:00
11.2178.6%
X6.6714.3%
213.347.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
LWWDDLLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Lecce
WWLDDLWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.30
Against
7.60
9.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.10goals per match
Lecce conceded2.00
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.20goals per match
Napoli conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.30
Corners against
7.60
9.40
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
25.30
Match total
29.20

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
7.20
On target
5.00
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.6%69.2%-9.4 pp
Draw14.3%15.4%+1.1 pp
Away7.1%15.4%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

2.770.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-115.4%
2-015.4%
4-015.4%
1-115.4%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.082.15
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away41.7%