Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 14:00
12.3839.9%
X3.4028.0%
22.9632.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
WLDLWLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Cagliari
WDDWDDLLDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.20
Against
6.90
10.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.10goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.50
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.30goals per match
Genoa conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.90
10.20
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.50
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
32.10
Match total
26.90

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.50
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%38.4%-1.6 pp
Draw28.0%31.4%+3.4 pp
Away32.1%30.2%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.411.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.0%
1-111.6%
1-29.3%
0-18.1%
1-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.64
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.8%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.547.7%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.1%7.1%–32.6% CI
Draw FT54.8%37.8%–70.8% CI
Away FT29.0%16.1%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.3%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals6.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.5%
Away48.4%