Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 14:00
12.7035.2%
X3.2928.9%
22.6535.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
LDLLLWLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Udinese
DLLWLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.80
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.00
Against
7.20
10.40
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.80
Goals conceded
2.20
2.60
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.80goals per match
Udinese conceded2.20
Matchup

Udinese attack

0.90goals per match
Brescia conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.00
Corners against
7.20
10.40
Match total
12.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.40
Match total
3.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
31.50
Match total
22.30

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.80
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%44.9%+9.7 pp
Draw28.9%23.6%-5.3 pp
Away35.9%31.5%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.391.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
2-112.4%
1-111.2%
1-29.0%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.90
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.537.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%27.6%–62.7% CI
Draw FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI
Away FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals29.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.3%
Away48.1%