Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 11:30
12.7434.7%
X3.4127.9%
22.5437.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
LWLWDLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Sassuolo
LLWDDDWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.10
Against
6.20
10.40
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.40
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.00goals per match
Spal conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.20
10.40
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.80
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.70
Match total
28.60

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.40
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%38.7%+4.0 pp
Draw27.9%27.4%-0.5 pp
Away37.4%33.9%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

1.341.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.5%
1-112.9%
1-09.7%
1-28.1%
0-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.395.08
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.0%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.538.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away47.1%