Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 11:30
12.7434.7%
X3.4127.9%
22.5437.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spal
LWLWDLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Sassuolo
LLWDDDWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.10
Against
6.20
10.40
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spal attack
0.90goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.40Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.00goals per matchSpal conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.20
10.40
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.80
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.70
Match total
28.60
Shots
10.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.40
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.7%38.7%+4.0 pp
Draw27.9%27.4%-0.5 pp
Away37.4%33.9%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS59.7%
Historical average
1.34–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.5%
1-112.9%
1-09.7%
1-28.1%
0-26.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.39–5.08
Average total10.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.0%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.538.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals29.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away47.1%