Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 17:00
12.2143.0%
X3.2329.4%
23.4427.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
LWDDLLWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sampdoria
LLLLLWLWDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.80
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.70
Against
6.50
13.00
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
2.60
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Torino attack

0.80goals per match
Sampdoria conceded2.10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.90goals per match
Torino conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.70
Corners against
6.50
13.00
Match total
10.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.60
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
31.50
Match total
27.70

Shots

8.10N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
4.30
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%45.0%+2.0 pp
Draw29.4%32.5%+3.1 pp
Away27.6%22.5%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.521.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
2-010.8%
1-010.0%
0-09.2%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.53
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.0%27.1%–56.6% CI
Draw FT43.6%29.3%–59.0% CI
Away FT15.4%7.2%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.0%
Away41.0%