Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 14:00
14.0623.4%
X3.7525.4%
21.8651.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
DWWLDLDLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Atalanta
WWWDDDWLDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.50
1.00
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
2.60
Against
3.60
9.20
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
1.80
Total goals
3.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.50goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
2.60
Corners against
3.60
9.20
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.70
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
30.60
Match total
29.50

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
5.30
On target
7.70
7%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.4%42.3%+18.9 pp
Draw25.4%19.2%-6.2 pp
Away51.2%38.5%-12.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

1.381.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
1-011.5%
2-111.5%
1-17.7%
3-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.427.15
Average total11.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.546.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away64.3%