Serie A · 2019/20
2020-02-07 · 19:45
11.6358.4%
X4.1922.7%
25.0218.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WLDWWWWLLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Bologna
WDLLLLWWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

9.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.10
Against
4.80
12.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.70goals per match
Bologna conceded1.70
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.80
12.40
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.70
Match total
6.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
27.80
Match total
31.30

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
8.00
On target
6.10
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.4%41.7%-16.7 pp
Draw22.7%33.3%+10.6 pp
Away18.9%25.0%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.501.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
4-016.7%
0-08.3%
5-18.3%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.424.42
Average total11.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.591.7%
Over 9.591.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT47.6%28.3%–67.6% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away38.1%