League Two · 2019/20
2020-03-10 · 19:45
12.7933.6%
X2.9032.3%
22.7534.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
WDDDLWDLDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Newport County
LLLLWLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
0.70
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.40
Against
5.40
10.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
1.90
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

0.70goals per match
Newport County conceded2.10
Matchup

Newport County attack

0.70goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.40
10.90
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.60
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.50
Match total
24.30

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
2.80
On target
2.60
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%42.3%+8.7 pp
Draw32.3%38.5%+6.1 pp
Away34.1%19.2%-14.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.528.8%
Over 3.511.5%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.210.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
1-017.3%
2-011.5%
0-09.6%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.814.46
Average total9.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Away FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.0%
Away44.0%