League Two · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
11.8949.7%
X3.4027.6%
24.1522.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
LLDDDWWLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Morecambe
DLLLLLWLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
2.10
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
0.70
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.30
Against
8.80
8.70
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
2.10
1.70
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

0.90goals per match
Morecambe conceded2.10
Matchup

Morecambe attack

0.80goals per match
Newport County conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
8.80
8.70
Match total
11.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
26.50
Match total
21.70

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.40
On target
3.20
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.7%51.8%+2.0 pp
Draw27.6%29.4%+1.8 pp
Away22.6%18.8%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.530.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
2-115.3%
1-010.6%
0-09.4%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.204.01
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.9%
Away40.9%